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Written by Marquez Comelab
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Thursday, 26 January 2012 14:24 |
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The Russians are about to start buying Australian Dollars. According to Russia's most senior central bankers, Alexie Ulyukayev. He said everything was ready, accounts are open, agreements are signed and the buying could begin at the start of February.
For Australian importers and Australian households purchasing overseas, this is great news as the costs of overseas goods and services become relatively cheaper. For Australian exporters, this is bad news as the their goods and services become relatively more expensive for their customers overseas.
I do not trade based on news like these because I wait until my trading indicators confirm the expected effect on the exchange rates. Even then, it is highly likely that the strategy the buyers have will be of a completely different timeframe to mine. Nevertheless, it would be interesting to track the effect this buying will have on the exchange rate of the Australian Dollar relative to other currencies like the US Dollar and the Euro. |
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Written by Marquez Comelab
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Sunday, 27 November 2011 00:32 |
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Europe's economic problems may end up in a meltdown in credit markets. Roughly a third of the funding for Australian mortgages come from overseas bond markets. As an indicator of how tight money is at the moment, the government of Germany failed to get funding from bonds this week. What chance will Australian Banks get? If things get worse in Europe, Australian real estate market prices is predicted by some (including Commonwealth Bank Chief Ralph Norris) to come down as credit becomes harder to get. |
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Written by Marquez Comelab
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Sunday, 20 November 2011 10:03 |
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Obama is winding up a nine-day trip to Asia with the mission of letting everybody know that the US is now focussing on Asia. The US would only do such a thing if they see it necessary, from a strategic perspective, to position itself where they would expect economic growth in the future. With the uncertainty and potential sluggish markets in Europe forecasted in the next few years, it is a logical move. What sort of opportunities might there be for the US, China and the rest of us? |
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Written by Marquez Comelab
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Saturday, 29 October 2011 00:30 |
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Rajat Gupta was orphaned at 18, a native of Kolkata, received an engineering degree from the Indian Institute of Technology. He later earned a scholarship to Harvard Business School and secured a position at the consulting firm, McKinsey & Co.
At the age of 45, he was elected to run McKinsey, the first 'non-white' to do so. He was then appointed by Kofi Annan, the former UN Secretary General to advise on management reform. Rajat Gupta was also sought after to counsel to institutions, governments and business leaders around the world.
Then in 2007, he started a private equity firm, New Silk Route around which time, he befriended a Sri Lankan native, Raj Rajaratnam.
Now, Rajat Gupta is being charged with Insider Trading, disclosing 'secrets' gained from being a board member of Goldman Sachs to Rajaratnam, who traded based on the information and gained several million dollars. |
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Written by Marquez Comelab
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Thursday, 15 September 2011 23:48 |
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A suspected rogue trader working for the UBS, a Swiss banking giant, incurs huge losses of $2 billion. Prior to his arrest, kewku Adoboli, 31, updated his Facebook page with, "I need a miracle".
Depending on an upcoming investigation, Mr. Adoboli will join the list of other traders in the past who have brought devastating trading results.
Other rogue traders in recent memory:
- Jerome Kerviel lost 4.3 billion euros for French bank Societe Generale. (2006-08)
- Nick Leeson lost 827 million pounds which was enough to bankrupt Barings Bank. (1995)
- Several currency traders lost $360 million for National Australia Bank (2003-04).
The impact of these events to the institutions involved is the loss of credibility and reliability. Investors would not want to do business with a particular institution they perceive may not have in place whatever is necessary to control risks. |
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